Look around

Guess. One try. Many tries. A pattern. New evidence. Then a choice.

Before it happens

What do you think will happen?

Did one try tell us what usually happens?

What can many tries show that one try cannot?

Does a streak mean something changed?

How could we test whether this pattern is more than a coincidence?

What does a 30% chance of rain actually tell you?

Can we predict which trait will appear?

Can anyone tell which atom will decay next?

Should a good thinker keep the old answer?

Can a tiny difference matter later?

If something is unlikely, should you ignore it?

What can you do when you cannot know for sure?